The Q4 2020 Brooklyn marketplace at a glance
Closed Sales
+12% year over year +39% quarter over quarter Just a few short months after the market was on pause, the sales pace in Brooklyn returned a more normalized quarterly activity typical of the past few years.
Contracts Signed
+8% year over year +24% quarter over quarter Contract activity began to improve once in-person showings resumed and all three months of the quarter exceeded the pace of last year.
Median Price
+13% year over year +11% quarter over quarter Expanding share of sales at the high end drove median price to its highest point on record.
Average PPSF
+4% year over year +5% quarter over quarter Price per square foot rose due to a greater share of sales in prime locations.
At six months after the resumption of in-person showings, the Brooklyn real estate market picked-up right where it left off before the Spring’s pandemic pause, and exceeded our expectations for the speed and strength of its rebound. The year ended with Fourth Quarter closings up 12% year-over-year, after two consecutive quarters with declines of over 30%. There were year-over-year gains in contracts signed since August that extended into the final three months of the year, which built up to 8% more sales volume than last year’s 4Q. Anecdotally, there was stiff competition for properly priced homes. Brooklyn is benefiting as buyers shift to seeking more space and better values, as opposed to proximity to workplaces at higher prices.
Fourth Quarter 2020 home inventory increased to a nine year high. As of late December, 2,584 apartments were on the market— 23% more than a year ago. There was a significant increase in the number of listings compared to a year earlier priced between $1M and $2M. The top-end of the market has rebounded the fastest. With 30% of closings trading for above $1M this quarter—the second highest share on record for Brooklyn—median price spiked 13% annually to $780,000, itself the highest figure on record! Nearly 90% of closings over $1M were for contracts signed since mid-March, indicating a demand for larger homes; average price per square foot also increased 4% annually as buyers also gravitated to high-quality apartments in prime locations.
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The Q4 2020 Manhattan marketplace at a glance
Closed Sales
-30% year over year +18% quarter over quarter Due to the very low number of contracts signed earlier this year, closings in Q4 2020 saw another deep annual decline. However, sales rose 18% vs last quarter thanks to the increase in contract activity after reopening.
Contracts Signed
+8% year over year +43% quarter over quarter Contract activity grew versus 2019 levels, driven by pent-up demand, low interest rates, and lower prices. Year over year, contracts rose 10% in October, 8% in November, and 3% in December.
Median Price
+4% year over year -3% quarter over quarter Median price rose a small 4% year-over-year as buyers closed on larger apartments compared to last year. In addition, last year’s figures continued to be negatively affected by the increase in transfer taxes last July.
Average PPSF
-8% year over year -20% quarter over quarter Prices continued to fall this quarter. Average price per square foot fell to a four-year low as sellers lowered prices while buyers prioritized space and layout over building and location.
There is nothing like ending the year on a bit of a high note and Manhattan showed an 8% increase in contracts signed year over year, and a 43% increase from the previous quarter. Buyers returned to the marketplace, as pent-up demand, low interest rates and abundant selection drove the market demand back to pre-Covid levels. In Fourth Quarter 2020, over 90% of closings were for deals inked since March, which provided not only a clearer picture of price trends but also revealed shifts in buyer preferences driven by the pandemic. In 4Q 2020, buyers closed on larger apartments, and were seeking value. They prioritized space and layout, over building and location, which drove median price up about 4% to $1.044M but pulled average price per square foot down 8% to a four-and-a-half year low of $1,615.
For sellers, prices fell, and competition was fierce with record inventory on the market of 9964 available Manhattan properties. Deal activity increased significantly in the Fourth Quarter of 2020, seen in both the annual gain in signed contracts and quarterly growth in closings. Contracts signed are the timeliest indicator of current demand, and it rose year-over-year each month this quarter. Closings, although down 30% year-over-year as a result of the spring pause in the market, grew 18% from last quarter to about 1,900 sales, bringing the 2020 total to about 7,600 transactions.
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